Donald Trump will finally let Israel go there alone. Barely the first strikes completed, its Secretary of State Marco Rubio said: “We are not involved in the strikes against Iran. »» The American president said he was warned just before.
He will have tried to prevent the Hebrew state from hitting and, sometimes, faithful to his versatile style linked to his frustration, promised to accompany him. Without success. After the failure to impose negotiation in Ukraine, Trump definitively buried his image as president of peace overnight from Thursday to Friday.
The HQ of the Farm Revolutionary Guards
The Israeli strikes, baptized “Lion Levant”, have affected both the Iranian military and nuclear sites, in particular that of Natanz, an enrichment center of uranium. A dozen Iranian nuclear scientists have been killed, as well as military leaders including that of the revolution guards, Hossein Salami, successor to Qassem Soleimani, a key man in the security apparatus and a central figure in Iran’s military projection in the Middle East.
“The imminence of the strikes was in all the heads”
These assassinations suggest that, since the death of Hamas, Ismaïl Haniyeh, during a targeted Mossad operation in Tehran in the summer of 2024, the Israelis still have surveillance means within the Iranian politico-military apparatus. At the time, we had talked about a network of spies at the heart of power, a hypothesis confirmed by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the former President of the Republic of Iran.
The imminence of the strikes was in all heads. The Iranian state television reported in the night that the headquarters of the revolution guards, located in Pirouzi Street, in the east of Tehran, was in flames. Why would the goalkeepers be there, knowing that Tsahal was going to strike? Did the Israelis have a way of monitoring his comings and goings as for the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, the head of Hezbollah, in Beirut?
Defense Minister Israel Katz confirmed on Friday that it was a strike on a meeting of army executives in the basements of the building that led to these dead. We also learn that in the image of the Ukrainian SBU in the “spider web” operation against Russian strategic bombers, Mossad had established a clandestinely introduced drone base inside Iran, and which, according to the daily Haaretz, were activated at the time of air strikes.
Trump informed?
Donald Trump first urged his Israeli ally not to carry out these operations. He suggested all the same that they were certainly going to take place, while indicating that the United States would continue negotiations around Iranian nuclear with the objective of preventing the country from obtaining the bomb. Now, this is where the main issue is located. “Iran must make a dealadded Trump on X following strikes, Or there will be nothing left of what was formerly called the Iranian Empire. Sign before it is too late … “
Later, he will suggest that he was aware of everything and that he would have led the negotiations in order to put the Iranians to sleep, by making them believe that it was his hand … But Iran can very well choose to radicalize, decide to get out of the TNP (nuclear non-proliferation treaty) and to accelerate at the same time the enrichment of uranium.
Currently at a level of 60 % purity, thanks to the help of a specific gas provided by China, it could increase to 80 %. Enough to make at least three atomic bombs … Iran, which has always denied having this goal in mind, was to pursue the dialogue on Sunday with the Americans in the Sultanate of Oman. Before giving up this meeting.
Even before the strikes, Iran indicated its desire to increase its enriched uranium production, with the construction of a new enrichment site, in response to adoption Thursday, by the International Atomic Energy Agency (AIEA) of a resolution condemning it for non-compliance with its obligations in nuclear matters. Tehran also holds the United States responsible for the strikes of Israel. But these are only words for the moment. The regime needs an agreement. The country is immersed in a major economic crisis that only a lifting of sanctions could relieve.
The absence of a way out of the tragedy of hostages weighs on society
Unlike the Israelis, the Americans learned their lesson and revised their belief in the omnipotence of air strikes, noting in April the impossibility of overcoming Houthis in this way. After weeks to pound the country by spending a fortune in ultra-sophisticated bombs, they ended up concluding an agreement with the Yemeni rebels. Note that Israel is not part of this agreement. The era of Carpet Bombing is over, but Netanyahu still believes in it, to satisfy part of his public opinion. This is indeed divided on this escalation.
The absence of the way to the tragedy of hostages and the humanitarian drama of Gaza weigh on society. And it is not certain that the opening of this new front brings any change. Iran retaliated, massively in the evening of Friday, by sending a rain of ballistic missiles and drones to Israel, triggering alert sirens throughout the country and managing to reach the Ministry of Defense and the Kyria government complex where the high command of TSAhal is located.
In response, Israel continued its strikes throughout the country. They should last several more days. This Saturday, June 14, Israeli strikes targeted the Iranian capital. Iran, for its part, continued its response through missile salvas on Israel, many of which have affected residential buildings.
